Friedman Industries Common Stock Performance

FRD Stock  USD 21.35  0.04  0.19%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.59, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Friedman Industries will likely underperform. At this point, Friedman Industries has a negative expected return of -0.0326%. Please make sure to confirm Friedman Industries' jensen alpha, semi variance, day typical price, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and accumulation distribution , to decide if Friedman Industries performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Friedman Industries Common has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound basic indicators, Friedman Industries is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
7.9
Five Day Return
2.65
Year To Date Return
5.29
Ten Year Return
360.26
All Time Return
1.9 K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0074
Payout Ratio
0.0899
Last Split Factor
105:100
Forward Dividend Rate
0.16
Dividend Date
2026-02-13
 
Friedman Industries dividend paid on 14th of November 2025
11/14/2025
1
Acquisition by Taylor Mike J of 1000 shares of Friedman Industries at 19.28 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/21/2025
2
Acquisition by Taylor Mike J of 1000 shares of Friedman Industries at 19.47 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/24/2025
3
Acquisition by Scott Sandra Kay of 500 shares of Friedman Industries at 20.05 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/28/2025
4
Acquisition by Scott Sandra Kay of 500 shares of Friedman Industries at 20.27 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/01/2025
5
Investing in Friedman Industries five years ago would have delivered you a 176 percent gain
12/02/2025
6
Sandra Kay Scott Buys 500 Shares of Friedman Industries Stock
12/04/2025
7
The Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights Broadcom, Exxon Mobil, Johnson Johnson, Investors Title and Friedman Industries
12/11/2025
8
Friedman declares 0.04 dividend
12/16/2025
9
Acquisition by Taylor Mike J of 888 shares of Friedman Industries at 14.4 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/31/2025
10
Ampco-Pittsburgh Stock Surges 155.8 percent in 3 Months Whats Next
01/13/2026
11
Acquisition by Taylor Mike J of 2000 shares of Friedman Industries at 13.5 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/02/2026
12
Friedman GAAP EPS of 0.43, revenue of 167.97M
02/09/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow5.9 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-3.4 M

Friedman Industries Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,233  in Friedman Industries Common on November 13, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (102.00) from holding Friedman Industries Common or give up 4.57% of portfolio value over 90 days. Friedman Industries Common is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 3.025% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 27% of stocks are less volatile than Friedman, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Friedman Industries is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.89 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.01 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of volatility.

Friedman Industries Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Friedman Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 21.35 90 days 21.35 
about 10.38
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Friedman Industries to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 10.38 (This Friedman Industries Common probability density function shows the probability of Friedman Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.59 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Friedman Industries will likely underperform. Additionally Friedman Industries Common has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Friedman Industries Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Friedman Industries

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Friedman Industries. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.3321.3624.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.5818.6121.64
Details

Friedman Industries Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Friedman Industries is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Friedman Industries' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Friedman Industries Common, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Friedman Industries within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.59
σ
Overall volatility
0.96
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Friedman Industries Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Friedman Industries for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Friedman Industries can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Friedman Industries generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Friedman Industries has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Friedman Industries Common has about 2.41 M in cash with (4.41 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.33.
Friedman Industries has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Friedman GAAP EPS of 0.43, revenue of 167.97M

Friedman Industries Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Friedman Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Friedman Industries' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Friedman Industries' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding6.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments3.7 M

Friedman Industries Fundamentals Growth

Friedman Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Friedman Industries, and Friedman Industries fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Friedman Stock performance.

About Friedman Industries Performance

By analyzing Friedman Industries' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Friedman Industries' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Friedman Industries has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Friedman Industries has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 93.57  72.53 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.03  0.03 
Return On Capital Employed 0.02  0.02 
Return On Assets 0.03  0.03 
Return On Equity 0.05  0.05 

Things to note about Friedman Industries performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Friedman Industries for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Friedman Industries help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Friedman Industries generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Friedman Industries has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Friedman Industries Common has about 2.41 M in cash with (4.41 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.33.
Friedman Industries has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Friedman GAAP EPS of 0.43, revenue of 167.97M
Evaluating Friedman Industries' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Friedman Industries' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Friedman Industries' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Friedman Industries' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Friedman Industries' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Friedman Industries' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Friedman Industries' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Friedman Industries' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Friedman Industries' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Friedman Industries' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Friedman Industries' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Friedman Industries' price analysis, check to measure Friedman Industries' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Friedman Industries is operating at the current time. Most of Friedman Industries' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Friedman Industries' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Friedman Industries' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Friedman Industries to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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